Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.196827 0.224142 0.253469 0.287250 0.325038 0.365954 0.413561
2025-11-30 0.162194 0.199037 0.241243 0.292991 0.354544 0.425219 0.512306
2025-12-07 0.134859 0.176693 0.227394 0.292987 0.375177 0.474299 0.602385
2025-12-14 0.114361 0.158953 0.215796 0.292916 0.394062 0.521353 0.692698
2025-12-21 0.098786 0.144921 0.206491 0.293674 0.412759 0.568371 0.785459
2025-12-28 0.087484 0.134848 0.200753 0.297748 0.435146 0.620778 0.888036
2026-01-04 0.079164 0.127714 0.197903 0.304895 0.461508 0.679518 1.002314
2026-01-11 0.071041 0.119710 0.192679 0.307654 0.481206 0.729608 1.107065
2026-01-18 0.064702 0.113575 0.189382 0.312555 0.503820 0.784629 1.221524
2026-01-25 0.060114 0.109618 0.188863 0.321320 0.532405 0.849583 1.353738
2026-02-01 0.054136 0.102596 0.182668 0.320356 0.545511 0.891679 1.453633
2026-02-08 0.048869 0.096139 0.176675 0.318977 0.557472 0.932215 1.552794
2026-02-15 0.043932 0.089864 0.170650 0.317458 0.569802 0.975219 1.660328
2026-02-22 0.040858 0.086651 0.169590 0.324242 0.596261 1.042189 1.809672
2026-03-01 0.037166 0.081796 0.165090 0.324518 0.611536 1.091691 1.933361
2026-03-08 0.033864 0.077291 0.160747 0.324595 0.626280 1.140907 2.058979
2026-03-15 0.031028 0.073370 0.157085 0.325513 0.642388 1.193081 2.192028
2026-03-22 0.028892 0.070651 0.155453 0.330033 0.665160 1.257742 2.349433
2026-03-29 0.027304 0.068921 0.155592 0.337902 0.694500 1.335274 2.532780
2026-04-05 0.025380 0.066192 0.153409 0.340944 0.714828 1.397682 2.692406
2026-04-12 0.023842 0.064157 0.152460 0.346329 0.739869 1.469717 2.872439
2026-04-19 0.022787 0.063134 0.153556 0.355948 0.773673 1.559359 3.088285
2026-04-26 0.020963 0.059997 0.149728 0.354894 0.786147 1.609874 3.234721